Thursday, December 27, 2007

A Strike Cease-Fire Is The WGA's Best Next Step

A Modest Proposal For Ending The Strike


1) WGA Calls Off The Strike.


That’s it.  


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Don't jump to any conclusions yet -- I know this is going to be controversial, but read on.  There would be conditions, of course, to the Strike ending, and they are conditions which unilaterally support the Writers.


Think of it not as “ending the war,” but rather as a “cease-fire.”


Here’s the plan:


The WGA should submit a proposal to the AMPTP (or to the Mediator as the Producer’s Proxy) which addresses the Studio’s latest counter-proposal.  The WGA was, by it’s own account, in the middle of preparing such a proposal when the Studios walked out.  In theory, the Writers’ latest draft is (or should be) complete and ready to submit to the other side.


The WGA should address the Studio’s 6 Conditions For Re-Instating Talks, but they should not unilaterally withdraw the issues.


The WGA should, in turning over their latest proposal, request that the AMPTP immediately return to the bargaining table to discuss and negotiate the terms of the latest proposal.


Here’s the kicker:


As inducement to restarting talks, the WGA should offer to immediately order all Writers to return to work, and conditionally call off the Strike (while withholding the right to resume a Strike at any time) as soon as the AMPTP returns to the negotiating table.  


WGA should hold that as long as the AMPTP was bargaining in good faith, the Writers would remain back at work.  If the AMPTP failed to keep up a newfound spirit of true negotiation, then back to the picket lines the writers would go.  The WGA would agree to input from the Mediator, but the WGA alone would decide if and when they would to go back to the picket lines.


And here’s the super value-added bonus: WGA should add that the AMPTP could not send senior personnel to negotiate with any other Guild (ie, DGA) while the Writers are working under their expired contract.  In other words, Counter and the Big Wigs stay at the WGA table, but the Writers don’t completely subvert a sister Guild’s preliminary talks.


Here’s what the WGA would gain:


  • Negotiations resume
  • First Position status with the AMPTP negotiating team
  • Writers are back to work
  • Below The Line is back to work
  • Hollywood is back to work
  • Leverage at the table -- Labor Relations 101 teaches us that the threat of a strike is far more leverage for labor than is the strike itself
  • Actions to back up their words.  If the Studios don’t return to the table, as a condition for ending the strike, then they truly become the party responsible for the strike continuing (which has long been a WGA party line that to date has been only half-true).  The WGA would have put up the ultimate Good Faith and the Studios would have truly squandered it.  This is all moot, though, since they absolutely would come back to the table with this enticement.
  • A contract.  Let’s face the simple truth -- the Guild would be months closer to an agreement by conditionally calling off the strike than they would by staying the course.


Here’s what the WGA could lose:


  • Ego.  The fear that the strike didn’t work, only the reversal of the strike did the trick.
  • Stockpiling of scripts.  But how much could really be written before you decided that they weren’t negotiating fairly?  If they get one week out of writing by faking good faith, did they get more than one episode per series?  Maybe they got some touch-ups on features that are going to shoot anyway (and bear a writer’s name on them somewhere). 


Here are rebuttals to the obvious arguments against the plan:


  • Wouldn’t this be caving to them? Not at all.  It’s the ultimate incentive to return to the table, and it gives back the leverage which was lost when the Guild went on strike.  Remember: the threat of a strike is more leverage than the strike itself.
  • Wouldn’t this set a dangerous precedent?  Potentially, but only in the hands of weaker leadership.  This would never work if it were the AMPTP demanding a strike cease-fire before they return to the table -- they tried that at the onset of the strike, and the Guild appropriately held firm.  But because this would be the WGA initiating the cease-fire, the precedent is the Guild’s to set, and merely becomes another labor weapon in this and future negotiations.


The plan isn’t detailed enough to be perfect -- you’ve got lawyers, use them.  But this idea would work significantly better than pouting to the public, whining to the courts, and walking in circles in front of studios that don’t care.


The Guild wouldn’t have to worry about waivers to late night, or producers that are also writers.  The Guild would have to worry about one thing -- making a deal that works.


Most importantly, the Guild has in its power to get everyone back to work AND get the contract it deserves in a manner that is more swift than it’s current course.


Many people (myself included) now believe that staying the course will result in one of two scenarios (both of which are pretty pessimistic):


1) The DGA will conclude a deal by the end of January.  WGA will end up taking a very similar deal by the end of February.  The deal will have been something the WGA could have gotten anyway, without ever striking (it’s based on the DGA deal, after all, and pattern bargaining ensured a similar deal even without a strike).


2) The DGA will conclude a deal by the end of January.  WGA will hate the deal, and continue to take a hard-lined stance against it.  The Strike will take us to the SAG contract expiration.  SAG, too, will walk.  The Strike will take us through August or so, and the WGA and SAG will sign deals suspiciously close to what was on the table back in February, as large factions of both Guilds threaten to go Financial Core.  This deal, again, would have been achievable either 1) without striking (see above), or 2) by delaying the Strike until the SAG contract expired.


Now is an opportunity for the WGA to once again control its own destiny, gain tremendous goodwill for the negotiation, and put all of Hollywood back to work.


The window of opportunity is shrinking, however.  This play has maximum leverage only before the DGA has begun formal talks.


Once you get past the radical notion that this would not be a bad move by the Guild, I think you might quickly realize it’s a great move.  A powerful move.  A game-changer.  


Stop letting the AMPTP call the shots.  Think different.


25 comments:

not a troll said...

I agree 100%. Walking picket lines means nothing now. Getting back to work with a threat of walking out again is the way to go. It must be done in the first week of Jan. Second week of Jan. force majeure will start. Third week DGA make a deal. SAG members will cross picket lines for late night shows except for Katherine Hagel who thinks she's a movie star now.

Anonymous said...

There really isn't any step for the WGA to take right now, unfortunately. They lost what leverage they had left back on December 7. At this point, the AMPTP has no interest in talking to them until after they have a new contract with the DGA. The WGA had hoped to have that first position, but the strike pretty much ended that possibility. And the DGA contract will not be finished in two weeks - there's too much material to discuss. It will take 3 weeks to a month for both sides just to present their initial proposals, and then another month to haggle out the math. You're looking at March before the DGA deal is done, during which time the awards shows will already have come, been picketed, and gone.

not a troll said...

DGA won't take that long, both sides want to get this over fast. Week of the 7th will be Force Majuere week, the DGA and the AMPTP already know what the deal will be, it's just a matter of crossing and dotting. The Letterman deal will fry a lot of writers watch for fi-core. The WGA really screwed this one up.

dan said...

The companies don't have to let the WGA membership return to work, they could simply lock them out until a contract is ratified. As illustrated by the Grocery chain strike a couple of years ago.

The WGA would have to make an offer to return, and the companies could accept, but attach certain conditions, ie, no more strikes/work actions. etc.

Striking is leverage, but once used, can't really be taken back.

I'm guessing Fed. Labor law would be kinder to the company then the union in this regard, in any regard, sadly.

Anonymous said...

I like this idea for 1 reason: IT'S A NEW BOLD STRATEGY!

Not sure it will work (considering I believe the AMPTP is comfortable with the strike right now - until they know they can reach deals with DGA and SAG). But I definitelty like the idea of writers doing more thinking outside the box like this, because whether they want to admit it or not the AMPTP is kicking their butts with their current strategy

Anonymous said...

not a troll, The DGA and the AMPTP do not know what the new contract will look like yet. Both sides have long laundry lists of issues to resolve in this negotiation, and they're not going to rush them. The DGA may well wish to have the matter over quickly, but they will not sign a bad contract just to get it over with. And the AMPTP has no real rush to get through the DGA contract talks, particularly as they know the WGA are sweating them. So there's a lot more to do than just crossing and dotting, and it will take the time it should. But you are correct that there will certainly be some people unhappy about the Letterman deal. Probably won't do anything right now, but when the strike gets into May, that's the time to watch for fissures.

Anonymous said...

BTLGuy:
Why do you hate writers so much?
I've seen a great deal of your posts on United Hollywood and your anger & vitriol are unparalleled.
I'm very curious to understand the origins of your campaign against the writers. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

Just because someone posts a dissenting strong opinion it does not always mean that they HATE you - though that is an effective defensive reponse to some who don't want to listen to differing opinions.

We become divided when we stop listening.

My opinion, YMMV.

TB

Post Guy said...

(This is already on United Hollywood, but I'm going to drop it here too)

BTL guy,

I like your proposal. I am sure there would be tweaking necessary as you point out, but the idea of it is a good start.

Labor continuing to work under the old contract while a new one is hammered out, is nothing new gang. This is not some crazy off the wall idea. It is not "scabbing your own work" whatsoever. It's been done this way countless times for the benefit of an entire industry numerous times in the past. In fact, as long as labor has been around this has been an approach that worked.

If something cannot be reached by June, the "perfect storm" is waiting.

Interestingly, not many have commented on AFTRA's involvement in this also. If I am not mistaken, many of the personalities for reality, news, talk, sports,etc are AFTRA performers. (someone please correct me if I am wrong on this) And, I have no idea how deep AFTRA goes into the radio business, so potentially there is even more power from outside sources.

Obviously, nothing is going to happen before the DGA, so any discussion of how that plays out doesn't really matter any more. And this is assuming the DGA does come to an agreement. So far, nothing has gone as expected, so there could be even more with you in June.

Let's be honest here, AMPTP doesn't give a damn about this tv season, and probably next. It hurts us (all of us) way more than it hurts them. We're talking about companies with cruise lines, publishing, cable networks, etc. Tv is a very small part of their business.

As far as stockpiling goes, TV is already at least 6 weeks behind, there will not be extra shows to produce, only saving whatever we had at this point. (to make a June cutoff anyway)

On the feature side, nothing new is going into production that can't be finished by June. Outside of lower budget films, features going into production after Jan 1 are minimal at best. Stockpiling is not going to be effective.

Hurt them with numbers, hurt them with SAG, AFTRA, and the WGA. 120,000 plus members! That will get their attention, and their investors attention !

As said in previous posts, I have tremendous respect for writers. I wish I was good enough to be a WGA writer, but I'm not. I honestly do want to see you guys get what you truly want and deserve. But it's time to take a serious look and consider some alternatives to get what you want, with less time on strike, with less damage to the industry, instead of more.

I believe staying the course until June hurts all of us, (writers too) and makes for a longer strike than is necessary to get what you want.

Delaying until you have even more power just makes sense when you are going up against huge companies, does it not?

Killing off the tv and pilot seasons doesn't make good sense for writers, or just about anyone. It makes us weaker.

BTL guy, thanks for the proposal.

Anonymous said...

decent plan but you miss the bigger picture- the moguls are now punishing the writers for having jerkwad leadership and striking to begin with. They mean to and will cause the writers pain so that no one thinks about pulling this crap for another decade. And as much as it hurts me too, if this pain kills their egos and half witted plans I am for it.

Anonymous said...

Between the various desperate moves by the WGA to try to keep their cause alive, now including the bizarre notion of "Strike TV", I'm beginning to wonder if the leadership there has truly lost sight of where they are and where they have put most of the below the line crew. Someone asked on another board if "Strike TV" was going to be crewed by IA people or anyone else. The current update about it does not indicate that union people will be hired or paid to do these things.

None of this changes the fact that the WGA has not done anything to convince the AMPTP that it wants to negotiate. Holding more rallies and creating more sideshows does not solve the impasse - that can only be done by taking the 6 items off the table and sending a polite letter to the AMPTP requesting to re-open the negotiations. Anything short of that means what we've all been expecting: The DGA opens negotiations a week from Monday, and spends the following two months creating the pattern contract that the WGA hoped to build. And if the WGA is still unable to adjust their behavior in March, then SAG is up next and they create a new contract before June. And by that point, the WGA will have the choice of either agreeing to the conditions they could have had in November and December or facing massive dissension from within. Not a particularly uplifting scenario, but it is unfortunately reminiscent of David Young's prior experience with Guess Jeans.

Anonymous said...

Update on "Strike TV". The MySpace page indicates that they're hoping that DGA, SAG and IA crews will work under union contracts, but essentially donating their time since these projects will be financed out of the pockets of the writers creating them. And the new shows are being tagged as an "internet fundraiser". To which I must ask, in all seriousness, HAVE THESE PEOPLE LOST THEIR MINDS?

BTL Guy said...

I have to say, I am more surprised by the apathy from writers over this proposal than I am by the proclamations that it won't work.

So many people just seem resigned to the self-fulfilling prophecy that there's nothing to do but wait.

This plan, while admittedly not perfect yet, addresses so many of the negotiation issues (as opposed to the contract issues) that Writers claim are important to them:

1) It's bad for the WGA if the DGA starts negotiating. This proposal is primarily aimed at stopping that (though, barring action along the lines of this proposal, I'm actually a big fan of the more moderate DGA talking now).

2) The AMPTP keeps calling the shots, like with 6 Demands or pushing the bargaining chips of reality and animation to the forefront. This proposal puts the WGA back in charge.

3) The AMPTP has the power to end the strike. I have always hated this line. The Writers have more power to end the strike than do the producers. But the underlying thought is apparently "we want the strike to end, too." Here's your chance, even if it's just temporary.

If, as commentator Dan suggested, the companies turn the Strike into a lockout, then at least the battlecry that is point #3 would have a ring of truth to it.

4) We want to keep negotiating. Great words, but it's been weeks since Verrone or Young have put forth any action to demonstrate this. The NLRB claim can't be used as proof of anything other than WGA leadership just not "getting it." That ploy works in the theoretical world, not the real world. All that did was push the negotiators further away.

Even if the Guild can't or won't call a cease-fire, I am still amazed at the absence of any kind of real push to get things jump-started. Maybe there have been back-channel attempts, I don't know. But this proposal is, if nothing else, a full court press to get things started again.

This may not be the plan, but at least it's a plan, which is more than what we're seeing right now from official Guild PR.

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I'm going to move my StrikeTV post back to the top of the front page. Anon @2:30am, I'm going to repost your comment there (and leave it here as well).

Anonymous said...

btl guy, the sad fact right now is that the WGA leadership and the more hardline members seem to think that they can "win" the strike and somehow "break" the AMPTP. This is akin to the moment in the documentary "Hearts of Darkness" where John Milius admits that when he went in to tell Francis Ford Coppola that he needed to be reasonable, Copplola converted him to thinking the film would win the Nobel Prize.

What's hard about this is that when there eventually is a deal in June or July, there will be a lot of bad blood both inside and outside of the WGA. Because the deal they eventually get will be pretty close to what they would have had in November or December had they not struck. And there will be a lot of people asking, as they did in 1988, why so many people were out of work for so long, to achieve so little. Obviously, this will not "break" the WGA, but it will be a major humiliation and a blow to all the unions and guilds in Hollywood. And that only benefits the AMPTP.

Post Guy said...

BTL guy,

All you can do is throw suggestions out there, as I have. Once we pass mid-February, there is no turning back, and I think this is a good way to avoid that.

I strongly feel you have presented a viable and smart alternative to "waiting this out".

For every issue in it, there is an answer. No different than continuing to bargain while at the job, which we already know works pretty well.

I've seen "top 10" reasons the Letterman agreement is a great thing. So far, I haven't seen the "top 10" alternate strategies to sitting out till next Christmas.

Or, is it all really about egos, respect, and righting the wrongs of 1988?

I challenge someone, anyone, to come up with a better plan, we're waiting.

Stellar Drift said...

You got to be an AMPTP plant! *lol*

Post Guy said...

Dear Hello:

Not sure if you are referring to me or BTL Guys proposal, but I'm in a mood today, so here it is.........


Myself, IA post production for 29 years, hundreds of episodic and dozens of feature films on my credit list. Not an AMPTP plant as far as I can tell.

Do I have tremendous respect for my writers?

.....without question.


Do I think the strike was a good thing at this time?

...no I don't. Should have waited until June when the "perfect storm" is with you getting what you want quicker, with less pain.


(In addition, don't blow up the entire Spring tv and pilot season along with dragging this through the holidays! This only hurt BTL and not the companies whatsoever)



Do I think download residuals are going to be as big a factor as everyone thinks?

.....No I don't, but I actually do understand why it has to be addressed now.

(as a curious footnote, Walmart today announced the closing of it's internet feature film download service)



Do I think the WGA needs to focus on the core issue it actually wants?

....freaking absolutely.


Do I think the WGA deserves download residuals equal to network television?

....Yes I do.


Not exactly the AMPTP line now is it?

Now "Hello", where's your idea?

Anonymous said...

I'm broke and my kids are hungry.

Does anyone think the meeting in Burbank Fri will be of any finacial help?

Post Guy said...

Anonymous,

I do know there is an Actors Strike Fund that I'm sure they will fill us in about. (it is not just limited to SAG) I will be there, as I'm sure many others.

BTL Guy said...

The Actor's Fund is what Post Guy is referring to. Please click the link for more information.

While it is called "The Actors Fund," it is available to nearly any union member in Hollywood (I believe you need five years union membership to qualify -- there may be other requirements as well). They provide financial assistance in addition to other helpful services.

I am not too familiar with them, but please check it out if you are hurting.

Post Guy said...

Well BTL guy, after going back to UH and monitoring your proposal responses it seems either........

A.) People actually read and would consider it.

(too bad there's no "hit" meter)

or

B.) Everyone is enjoying their time off.


Based on the heavy commenting otherwise at UH and Deadline Hollywood the past few days, I'm hoping for choice A.

This next 3 weeks will tell the tale I believe.




p.s. We're still waiting on "Hello's" plan to save the Spring TV season.

(yes sarcasm is at an all time high over here)

BTL Guy said...

Post Guy,

I feel like the proposal may have actually got lost in the news of the Letterman deal, unfortunately.

I've also noticed a trend on UH that whenever a post is basically a link to an outside story, the comments tend to be much smaller in number.

I hope you're right, of course, but I fear that the idea has fallen on mostly deaf ears.

Nonetheless, I gotta give props to UnitedHollywood -- and John Aboud, especially -- for posting the story.

I don't want to speak for John, but my feeling is that he appreciated the train of thought that led to the cease-fire idea more than the idea itself (he has legitimate concerns about possible negative effects from it). So I am especially impressed and grateful that he gave it the prominent front page space that he did.

pat cracks said...

BTL guy, GREAT proposal, I myself work as a 52 grip in NYC, which noone even seems to think exists at this point, its all LA BS. Im with Tom Short though on this one, these clowns don't know what road to take!

Anonymous said...

BTL Guy,

You mentioned that assistance through the Actors Fund is available to all of the workers in Hollywood. We are in Austin, Texas where we (used to) work on Friday Night Lights. Do you know if we have access?

BTL Guy said...

austin,

I'm sorry, but I don't know the specifics of eligibility for the Actors Fund or other programs.

I believe that the Actors Fund is available across the country. They have offices in L.A., New York, and Chicago.

In addition to the Actors Fund, I've got a couple of other sources you can turn to (thanks to Kristen R for her email this morning with the following info):

The Motion Picture & Television Fund's Work Stoppage Relief Fun is at
http://www.mptvfund.org
It appears that they can help anyone union or non-union who has been working in the film or television industry for 7 years or more.

The Will Rogers Motion Pictures Pioneers Foundation is at
http://www.wrpioneers.org
It appears that they can help anyone who has worked in production, distribution or exhibition for ten years or more.

Finally, the Writers have set up a Solidarity Fund for non-WGA workers who are unemployed due to the Strike. They won't pay out cash, but they will directly pay some bills if you qualify. They are at
http://wgfoundation.org/supportfund.html.

I will get these links to the front page as well.

Good luck.